Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.155218 0.185020 0.218530 0.258929 0.306244 0.359831 0.425051
2025-04-27 0.120509 0.161455 0.212610 0.280907 0.369353 0.479646 0.627189
2025-05-04 0.097670 0.142860 0.203931 0.291830 0.414307 0.577990 0.812203
2025-05-11 0.078375 0.123493 0.188641 0.288485 0.436289 0.645365 0.961376
2025-05-18 0.062576 0.105419 0.171050 0.277396 0.443441 0.690259 1.081474
2025-05-25 0.050148 0.089870 0.154123 0.263670 0.443182 0.722207 1.183705
2025-06-01 0.043955 0.083214 0.149844 0.268632 0.471667 0.799714 1.362587
2025-06-08 0.036632 0.073196 0.138243 0.259364 0.475009 0.836668 1.479442
2025-06-15 0.032877 0.068954 0.135893 0.265452 0.504594 0.919037 1.678690
2025-06-22 0.029177 0.064137 0.131693 0.267398 0.526676 0.990264 1.865204
2025-06-29 0.025411 0.058509 0.125069 0.263724 0.537682 1.042561 2.022701
2025-07-06 0.022237 0.053548 0.118987 0.260144 0.548134 1.094364 2.183522
2025-07-13 0.020389 0.051339 0.118538 0.268567 0.584454 1.200693 2.461906
2025-07-20 0.019856 0.052077 0.124502 0.291321 0.652673 1.375653 2.890270
2025-07-27 0.018459 0.050496 0.125130 0.302624 0.698426 1.510981 3.254085
2025-08-03 0.016236 0.046437 0.119492 0.299163 0.712150 1.582996 3.497639
2025-08-10 0.013851 0.041476 0.110929 0.287689 0.706699 1.614515 3.660565
2025-08-17 0.011678 0.036621 0.101807 0.273486 0.693111 1.627004 3.784023
2025-08-24 0.010738 0.035035 0.100667 0.278621 0.725016 1.741247 4.137307
2025-08-31 0.009266 0.031580 0.094083 0.269030 0.720461 1.773741 4.313170
2025-09-07 0.008613 0.030476 0.093648 0.275330 0.755527 1.899495 4.710007
2025-09-14 0.007867 0.028922 0.091716 0.277344 0.780016 2.002908 5.064736
2025-09-21 0.007010 0.026821 0.087870 0.273542 0.789042 2.070422 5.341453